The 2026 market cut: 31 closings, mostly duplexes
From January 1 through September 9, the official City 19th Ward polygon contained 31 unique closed two-to-four-unit MLS listings. The median reported sale price was $190,000, median reported price per square foot was $81.7, and median source-defined days on market was 8.
The comparable 2025 period contained 30 closings with a $172,000 median. That is a +10.5% change in the medians of two different sold-property populations—not a repeat-sales appreciation rate.
| 2026 YTD official-polygon measure | Result | What the denominator contains |
|---|---|---|
| All qualifying closings | 31 | Every unique MLS number in the filtered polygon population |
| Duplex-classified closings | 28 | MLS Total # Apts = 2 |
| Triplex-classified closings | 1 | MLS Total # Apts = 3 |
| Four-unit-classified closings | 2 | MLS Total # Apts = 4 |
| UGR-involved transactions | 9 | 29.0% of the defined segment |
Define the 19th Ward before using the name
The City neighborhood polygon is the controlling geography for this research series. The 19th Ward Community Association’s bylaws define a separate service area using West Avenue and the railroad, West Main and Genesee Streets, Brooks Avenue, the Genesee River, and the city line or Barge Canal, including specified adjoining properties. The City polygon, association area, ZIP 14619, historic ward, electoral district, Brooks Landing, and a listing label are not interchangeable.
Future quantitative extracts will spatially match parcels to the saved City polygon. Association inclusion, corridor frontage, Brooks Landing, river or canal adjacency, and nearby neighborhood labels will remain separate parcel fields. Border parcels will be checked manually rather than assigned from a ZIP code or marketing description.
- Locate the parcel in the City neighborhood layer
- Compare the parcel with the association’s written service boundary
- Save the street address, address range, SBL, coordinates, and boundary version
- Map corridor, Brooks Landing, river, canal, park, and adjacent-neighborhood relationships separately
- Use the same reviewed parcel population for sales, rent, permit, and operating datasets
The association’s integration history is essential context—not a pricing signal
The 19th Ward Community Association traces its formation to a July 1965 meeting held in response to blockbusting and neighborhood change. Its published history describes an intentional effort to build and preserve a multiracial community. That history is relevant to the neighborhood’s institutions and identity, but it must never be translated into demographic targeting, steering, a “stability” score, or a return premium.
Property research should document deeds, land-use history, disinvestment, public programs, and physical change when they affect the subject. Marketing, tenant selection, buyer counseling, and location comparisons must remain neutral and lawful. Historical evidence can explain how a place developed; it does not determine who belongs there or whether an individual property is suitable.
2025 small-multifamily benchmark: ZIP 14619 is not the neighborhood
A September 9, 2026 MLS extract identified 22 unique listings classified as closed two-to-four-unit residential sales in ZIP 14619 during calendar 2025. The median sale price was $193,250, median source-defined days on market was 11, and the median sale price was 105.6% of original list price. The 22 closings totaled $4,086,000 in reported sale price.
The same dates and property-type filter returned 48 records when the MLS City Neighborhood field was set to “19th Ward.” That larger tagged population had a $160,500 median sale price and $8,018,800 in reported sale price. Neither result is presented as a parcel-matched statistic for the official City neighborhood polygon. The difference is the point: a ZIP code, an MLS neighborhood tag, and the City boundary answer different questions.
| 2025 MLS measure | ZIP 14619 | MLS field: 19th Ward |
|---|---|---|
| Unique closed 2–4 unit listings | 22 | 48 |
| Median sale price | $193,250 | $160,500 |
| Reported sale-price volume | $4,086,000 | $8,018,800 |
| Median days on market | 11 | 11.5 |
| Median sale / original list price | 105.6% | 100.1% |
Five years of ZIP 14619 closings put 2025 in context
The same MLS filter produced 128 unique ZIP 14619 closings from 2021 through 2025. Annual volume ranged from 16 to 31 closings. The median reported sale price increased from $123,500 in 2021 to $193,250 in 2025, a 56.5% change in the annual medians.
That 56.5% figure is not a repeat-sales appreciation rate. Each year contains a different mix of properties, condition, occupancy, unit count, financing, and transaction circumstances. The series describes the included MLS closings; it does not prove what an individual property gained in value.
| Closed year | Unique sales | Median sale price | Median DOM | Median sale / original list |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 28 | $123,500 | 8 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 31 | $125,000 | 13 | 98.6% |
| 2023 | 16 | $140,196 | 18.5 | 103.1% |
| 2024 | 31 | $158,500 | 8 | 102.8% |
| 2025 | 22 | $193,250 | 11 | 105.6% |
Updegraff Group Realty participated in about one in four ZIP 14619 sales in this MLS cut
The MLS identifies the brokerage by its legal office name, Updegraff Group LLC. It appeared on either the listing side or buyer side of 5 of the 22 qualifying ZIP 14619 closings, equal to 22.7%. Three were listing-side transactions and two were buyer-side transactions; none of the five was represented by the brokerage on both sides.
“Participated in” is the controlling phrase. The calculation counts each MLS closing once even if the same brokerage appears on both sides. It does not claim that the brokerage caused the market result, and it excludes off-market transfers, private sales, sales entered under another office, and transactions outside the stated MLS filter. A future parcel-matched edition can test the official City neighborhood boundary separately.
| Brokerage participation measure | 2025 ZIP 14619 closings | Share of 22 |
|---|---|---|
| Listing side | 3 | 13.6% |
| Buyer side | 2 | 9.1% |
| Both sides | 0 | 0.0% |
| Either side, deduplicated | 5 | 22.7% |
Brokerage participation is a dated series, not a permanent market-share claim
Updegraff Group LLC appeared on 19 of the 128 unique ZIP 14619 closings from 2021 through 2025 when listing-side and buyer-side appearances were combined and each MLS number was counted once. The annual share varied materially, from 3.2% in 2022 to 22.7% in 2025.
This is best described as MLS-recorded transaction participation within one property type, ZIP code, and closing period. It is not company revenue, total transaction volume, a share of every property sale, or a claim about off-market activity.
| Closed year | All qualifying sales | UGR participated | Deduplicated share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% |
| 2022 | 31 | 1 | 3.2% |
| 2023 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% |
| 2024 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% |
| 2025 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
Do the parcel and legal-use work first
Start in the City Property Information application, then reconcile the result to the County property portal, deed, Certificate of Occupancy, zoning, permits, code record, leases, and physical layout. Older houses can contain bedrooms, attic space, finished basements, kitchens, or meters that do not establish an approved unit or occupancy.
A listing described as a duplex, student rental, rooming arrangement, or conversion should be treated as a claim until the legal use and current C of O support it. A buyer’s plan to add bedrooms or units is a separate zoning, building-code, egress, parking, fire-separation, and permit question.
- Match the advertised property to the correct parcel and deeded owner
- Confirm legal units, occupancy type, bedrooms, and current C of O
- Save zoning, approvals, permits, violations, nuisance, tax, water, and assessment records
- Inspect every accessible unit, common area, basement, attic, garage, and exterior
- Carry unresolved use or occupancy questions as closing conditions—not upside
University adjacency is an input—not a business plan
The 19th Ward sits across the Genesee River from the University of Rochester River Campus and near the Medical Center, but proximity varies materially inside the neighborhood. The University provides an off-campus living program, and its medical-student housing guide describes 19th Ward housing as including house shares and some apartments.
Do not translate institutional proximity into guaranteed occupancy or above-market rent. Verify who can realistically reach the property, pedestrian and vehicle routes, parking, lease timing, bedroom and occupancy rules, furnishing, utilities, turnover labor, marketing channel, and the actual comparable set. First-year undergraduates are generally required to live on campus, so enrollment is not the same as off-campus demand.
- Measure the real trip from the property—not the neighborhood label
- Separate whole-unit, by-bedroom, furnished, and conventional leases
- Confirm legal occupancy and bedroom egress before modeling house-share income
- Model summer gaps, staggered move-ins, turnover intensity, utilities, furniture, and parking
- Maintain neutral, lawful screening and marketing for every applicant
Five named business corridors require five different property files
The 19th Ward Community Association identifies Brooks Avenue, Arnett Boulevard, Thurston Road, Chili Avenue, and Genesee Street as business corridors within its community work. A storefront or mixed-use property on one corridor should not inherit the rents, traffic, parking, tenant mix, or redevelopment story of another.
The City’s 2019 Commercial Corridor Study contains a dedicated Genesee Street analysis and described a small commercial district influenced by University activity and seasonal patterns. That dated planning study is useful for forming questions, not for stating current sales, demand, traffic, vacancy, tenant performance, or a corridor premium.
| Corridor question | Evidence required |
|---|---|
| Legal and physical premises | C of O, zoning, approved plans, floor area, fire separation, accessibility, utilities, and actual occupancy |
| Lease economics | Signed lease, amendments, rent ledger, reimbursements, options, guaranties, deposits, improvements, and rollover |
| Access and service | Survey, curb cuts, easements, parking rights, loading, refuse, deliveries, snow, and accessible route |
| Current demand | Dated listings, executed leases, business turnover, observed activity, and clearly defined comparison area |
| Public or institutional influence | Project scope, geography, approvals, funding, schedule, completion, and measurable property mechanism |
Brooks Landing is a separate project and operating geography
The City’s Brooks Landing Urban Renewal Plan describes a defined project area along the west bank of the Genesee River near Brooks Avenue and Genesee Street, divided into subareas and containing commercial, mixed-use, residential, vacant, and park parcels at adoption. That legal project geography is not the entire 19th Ward and should not be used as a neighborhood comparable boundary.
Brooks Landing properties require project-specific review of ownership, urban-renewal controls, easements, river conditions, commercial leases, student-oriented housing, parking, public improvements, and institutional relationships. Later acquisition or development by the University or another owner is evidence about the named property—not proof of demand or appreciation for every nearby house.
- Map the subject against the City neighborhood and Brooks Landing project boundaries separately
- Confirm present ownership, legal use, agreements, easements, and tax status
- Separate conventional residential, student-oriented, hotel, office, retail, and public-space economics
- Observe riverfront, bridge, trail, loading, parking, and event conditions by time
- Model institutional ownership or acquisition only from current property-specific evidence
River, canal, park, and southern-edge conditions must be mapped parcel by parcel
The association boundary reaches the Genesee River and the city line or Barge Canal, while Genesee Valley Park occupies a major river-and-canal landscape nearby. A neighborhood label does not establish that a subject is waterfront, in a flood zone, beside parkland, or controlled by a river-wall or canal project.
For a river, canal, park, or low-lying parcel, retrieve current FEMA mapping, survey and elevation evidence, easements, ownership, utilities, drainage, sewer history, slope and retaining conditions, insurance terms, public-project records, and maintenance responsibility. Observe seasonal water, trail, event, access, snow, lighting, and parking conditions. Treat recreation and views as context until a matched-property analysis supports an economic effect.
Small parks and converted sites have their own title and environmental histories
The City identifies Aberdeen Square as a 19th Ward park. The association’s published history of the Thurston and Ravenwood Community Arts Garden describes a former gas-station site that required environmental cleanup before conversion to a garden. Neither example supports a neighborhood-wide premium, but each illustrates why an apparently simple open space needs a parcel history.
For a subject near a park, garden, former service station, vacant lot, or reused site, verify ownership, legal access, environmental records, easements, maintenance, lighting, events, hours, parking, drainage, and planned work. Do not assume that landscaping proves clean soil or that an adjoining public or community use is permanent.
Match the strategy to the building and exit buyer
| Strategy | Evidence to verify | Common failure mode |
|---|---|---|
| Owner-occupant one-to-three-family | Legal units, lender treatment, leases, tax class, utilities, owner-occupancy rules | Underwriting every unit at projected rent while ignoring occupancy or financing conditions |
| Conventional small rental | Achieved rents, collections, vacancy, expenses, C of O, lead, management and capital plan | Using asking rent and incomplete expenses as stabilized NOI |
| University-adjacent rental | Exact route, legal occupancy, leasing cycle, furnishing, utilities, parking and turnover | Treating all students or employees as one guaranteed demand pool |
| Rehabilitation and resale | Buyer profile, as-is comps, completed-condition comps, scope, permits, carrying cost and liquidity | Using a broad neighborhood median as after-repair value |
| Mixed-use or corridor property | Legal use, zoning, commercial lease, systems, fire separation, parking and lender appetite | Applying residential financing and expense assumptions to mixed occupancy |
Taxes and four-unit economics still apply
The 19th Ward is inside the City of Rochester tax system. Under the City’s 2026–27 published classification, one-, two-, and three-family residential property generally receives the homestead rate; other property, including a four-unit, falls under the non-homestead rate.
The current rate-based combined total is $18.215701 per $1,000 of assessed value for homestead property and $32.434701 for non-homestead property before other property-specific charges. Use the actual bill, assessment, frontage, refuse, water, exemptions, re-levies, and post-transfer case.
Older-house rehabilitation needs an investigation phase
Treat water management, foundation, masonry, roof, porches, electrical service, plumbing and sewer, heating, windows, fire separation, lead, asbestos-suspect materials, and occupied work as connected systems. Cosmetic finishes should not consume the budget before safety, water, structure, and legal occupancy are understood.
The City requires permits for many alterations, structural repairs, changes of use, system modifications, specified roofing work, and legalization of interior spaces. The correct scope depends on the actual building and proposed use; a nearby renovation is not a substitute for an inspection and written scope.
- Document water entry and drainage before interior finishes
- Inspect service capacity, wiring, supply, waste, sewer, heat, hot water, and venting
- Check porches, stairs, guards, egress, alarms, and fire separation
- Price lead-safe work, testing, permits, disposal, design, vacancy, contingency, and reinspection
- Separate ordinary repair, deferred maintenance, capital replacement, and value-add scope
Lead, C of O, and owner registration can control the schedule
A 19th Ward rental built before 1980 that falls inside the City’s Lead Paint High-Risk Area is subject to the revised 2026 program. Covered properties must have an active C of O by October 1, 2026, and the certificate doubles as the state-required Lead Safety Certificate. Confirm the parcel in the City’s impacted-property map.
Every City owner with a building must complete a Building Owner Registry submission. A revised filing is required after a sale or contact change under the published rules. Properties owned by an LLC require the applicable natural-person disclosure and property-manager setup.
Walk the asset and the immediate block
A neighborhood guide cannot replace a property visit. Observe the subject at more than one relevant time, while respecting residents and public-space rules. The goal is not to grade the people who live nearby; it is to verify physical and operating facts that affect the property.
Record only decision-relevant observations: adjacent land use, traffic and loading, parking rules, lighting, drainage, topography, retaining walls, vacant or construction sites, refuse, property access, transit stops, noise sources, and the actual route to claimed destinations. Confirm anything material through records or specialist review.
- Photograph the subject and public-facing physical context with dates
- Test driveway, parking, refuse, snow-storage, and service access assumptions
- Identify adjacent commercial, institutional, vacant, or redevelopment parcels
- Check municipal projects, permits, zoning cases, and code records rather than relying on rumor
- Keep crime data, if later used, time-bounded, source-defined, and free of demographic or steering conclusions
Underwrite the 19th Ward property—not the story
Build separate current, as-is buyer, renovation-period, stabilized, downside, and exit cases. Current leases and collected income belong in the current case. Projected rents, added units, student-oriented premiums, refinance proceeds, and renovation savings belong in labeled scenarios until supported.
A complete NOI requires every recurring property-level operating expense. Capital work, debt service, taxes on income, and depreciation remain separate. Show the cash required through stabilization, not merely purchase price and down payment.
- Verify unit-level leases, concessions, deposits, arrears, utilities, and occupancy
- Use property-type and boundary-matched sales and rent evidence
- Include management, leasing, turnover, repairs, taxes, insurance, utilities, compliance, grounds, and administration
- Carry known capital items explicitly instead of hiding them in a reserve percentage
- Stress vacancy, collections, construction duration, interest, insurance, taxes, refinance, and sale price
Fair-housing and editorial boundary
This guide does not rate the 19th Ward for safety, schools, desirability, demographic composition, or who should live there. It does not use coded labels such as “good area,” “bad area,” “up-and-coming,” or “student neighborhood” as substitutes for evidence.
Future updates will describe measurable property and operating conditions using the same boundary and comparison rules applied elsewhere. Readers should evaluate personal services and amenities directly; investors and housing providers must use lawful, neutral marketing, screening, leasing, and management practices. Sources were reviewed September 9, 2026.